Thursday, June 28, 2007

Metagame Madness 6/28

It's time to take our weekly look at Regionals results from across the country to see how the metagame is shaping up. With no big events and less than two months until U.S. Nationals, the next few weeks will really shape the metagame heading into that event.

Without further ado, this week's results.

First up as usual, the factions:

Alliance-132/+23
Horde-120/+17

These numbers lie just a little bit. Despite the fact that the Alliance looks like the better faction, that is a result of the ridiculous number of Phadalus decks (more on this in a moment). For any basketball fans out there, the faction battle here is similar to the NBA Finals this year. The Horde are the Spurs working as a team with a few stars complemented by several key role players all doing their part for the good of the team. The Alliance is the Cavaliers, only even in the game because of one absolute superstar with a couple other people making slightly measurable contributions.

Now the classes.

Shaman-70/+20
Hunter-45/+5
Warlock-44/+6
Warrior-29/+1
Druid-24/+3
Paladin-18/+2
Priest-9/+1
Rogue-7/+1
Mage-6/+1

It's possible to split the classes up here into three groups, top three, middle three, and bottom three, but I think I'm going to say there are four groups here because Shamans are just too far out in front to be in the same group as anyone else. So for now, I'm going to say that Group 1 is Shamans, Group 2 is Hunter and Warlock, Group 3 is Warrior, Druid, and Paladin, and Group 4 is Priest, Rogue, and Mage. One of the sad (for lack of a better word) situations arising from the popularity of Phadalus is that the deck that seems to be most equipped to deal with Shaman rush is Horde Shaman control. Grennan decks are becoming very popular again, which means the top table at a lot of tournaments are just crawling with Shamans. Gary actually joked the other day that he wanted to make a Shaman in the MMO to see if they are as good on the computer as they are in the cards.

Phadalus-52/+15
Telrander-21/+2
Dizdemona-19/+2
Pagatha-18/+2
Sen'Zir-16/+2
Grennan-16/+5
Azarak-16/+3
Gorebelly-15/+1
Elendril-12/+0
Bulkas-11/+0
Nimaasus-8/+2
Zenith-6/+2
Aleyah-5/+0
Kayleitha-5/+0
Omedus-5/+0

I have decided not to write out the full list of heroes with less than 5 top 8's. I will, however, point out that Varanis and Morova got on the board this week which leaves only these heroes without a top 8:Boris Brightbeard, Nathressa Darkstrider, and Moonshadow. You'll notice they're all Alliance which further shows that the Horde is better overall but can't keep up with Phadalus to win the battle of the factions.

The first thing you should notice is how wide the gap between Phadalus and everyone else has become. The deck was already the most popular in the format before Brad Watson became a Dream Machine Champion with it. Phadalus took home a mind-boggling 15 top 8's this week. I think it is worth raising the question, does something need to be done about Phadalus? While I'm not going to go into that debate today, think about what you like to see from a Constructed format and whether you think Phadalus decks are starting to warp the game.

After the masterful performance of the blue man group this week only two other heroes posted more than two top 8's, Grennan and Azarak. Grennan is quickly climbing back through the ranks as it has some of the best tools to fight off its Alliance Shaman counterpart. Grennan control first rose to popularity as a foil to Elendril rush. Now, player's are calling on the uber-cow again to combat a new Alliance rush deck. We will see over the next few weeks whether Grennan still has it in him to fight off this deck or whether Phadalus will prove too tough to tame.

The other deck that outperformed everyone but the Shamans this week was Azarak. While I still didn't see decklists for these, I'm going to assume that they are the control deck and not the ally curve deck. Azarak like Grennan has a lot of tools to fight rush decks. Lightning Reflexes is amazing and the combination of a Ranged weapon with Wraith Scythe can be overwhelming to a deck full of small allies. It has the added benefit over a somewhat similar deck in Bulkas of being able to just end the game in one big turn with Rapid Fire. This makes it significantly better against the Pagatha control decks that look to recur a Zygore with Spirit Healer until you're out of weapons, but the Rapid Fire will sometimes give Azarak a chance to win before Zygore takes out everything.

Beyond that, there wasn't much to talk about. Gorebelly and Bulkas were conspicuously absent this week with Gorebelly only getting one and Bulkas not a single top 8. There weren't any real shockers further on down the list. As of right now, it looks like your metagame is going to be a heavy diet of Shamans, mostly Phadalus with Grennan becoming increasingly popular, with several other decks looking to make some noise. Those decks include: Telrander (who has possibly found his happy medium as an explosive if inconsistent Tier 2 deck), Dizdemona aggro, Pagatha control, Sen'Zir mid-range, Azarak control, Gorebelly rush/combo, Bulkas control (although this deck is dying a slow death), and perhaps some Nimaasus rush.

That's it for today. Good luck at Regionals and don't forget to send in your results.

6 Comments:

At 4:57 PM , Anonymous Anonymous said...

im not sure if you've talked about it, but one of the reasons phadalus is so good has a lot to do with perdition's blade. the weapon can completely wreck any early game threats. the weapon is also a big reason why grennan can compete against phadalus. its cheap and efficient at what it does. it's not necessarily broken, but it definitely provides a boost for any class that can utilize it.

 
At 5:09 PM , Anonymous Anonymous said...

That could not be any more incorrect. Phadalus was already strong even before MC came out. Perdition Blade isn't what makes shaman so strong; it's shaman abilities like Searing Totem and especially Chain Lightning.

Also, another reason why alliance rush is so dominating is that it's probably the only deck archetype that has a solid answer to solo equipment decks without deviating too much from its strategy. Chipper is a solid turn 2 drop even against decks without equipments.

From my own playtesting, alot of control decks that utterly annihilate the alliance rush strategy ends up auto-losing to equipment decks. It makes it hard for people to run that kind of deck knowing that if they become unlucky and get matched up against non-rush decks, they could end up w/an auto-loss and lose their chance to make the cut to top 8 (or Day 2 National).

I think BLyons mentioned this before, but when a meta is as diverse as it is, the safest (and ultimately the wisest) choice is to pick a deck that has a consistent strategy no matter the matchup... and that is rush.

 
At 7:34 PM , Anonymous Anonymous said...

Shaman rush has searing totem, chain lightning, Korthas greybeard, Chipper, Perditions blade and the most stupid keyword ever... Untargetable!!!

Korthas and Chipper are stupidly easy to bring back and re-use. Korthas keeps the large field of allies around as well as keeping totems from being killed by 1 damage abilities. Chipper just blows up equipment before it gets to be used.

Top it off with the already useful allies like Parvink, and the return of King Magni, with his huge backside of 8 health and the deck just becomes a force to be reconned with.

People who want to win, run Phadalus. People who want to win with alittle self respect run anything else.

 
At 11:50 PM , Anonymous Anonymous said...

kysuke, you're right. phadalus was strong before molten core came out. i didn't mean for it to sound like it single handedly makes shaman the best deck out there. i said one of the reasons why it's so good is because of perdition's blade. certainly searing totem and chain lightning are powerful spells and are definitely reasons why the shaman class is good but everyone should have already known that. i guess i meant that a new addition to the already previously solid deck wasn't really talked about in his blog and i wanted to bring it up. sorry to confuse you.

 
At 8:32 AM , Anonymous Anonymous said...

I've been scrambling to find a way to email him, but dont have his actual email. At the Coral Springs, FL regional on the 23rd of June, the T8 looked like this: 1 Grumphrey Rush, 1 Bulkas Cruelty, 1 Telrander rush, 1 Dizdemona control, 2 Phadalus rush, 1 Nimaasus Rush?, 1 Nimaasus Control (me).

 
At 8:17 AM , Anonymous Anonymous said...

No, notes about any Haruka deck Q'ing, or Haruka being one of the illustrious non Top 8 decks.

This saddens me, as I Q'd (2nd) in Detroit with Haruka.

 

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